Thursday, November 6, 2008

PREVIEW - WEEK TEN

Denver Broncos @ Cleveland Browns
Line: Browns -3
O/U: 46
Linebuster!
I'm tempted to take the Browns, who have been playing much better as of late. But with the quarterback change and a Sunday to Thursday turnaround (meaning Quinn hasn't had "starter" reps for very long in practice...), I'm not sure if the offense will be in synch. Denver has lost three in a row after a 4-1 start, and knows that it's opening the door for San Diego to get back on their feet and claim the division that everyone "knew" they'd win when the season began. For that reason, I have to go with the Broncs.
Broncos +3. Denver needs this one. 33-20.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions
Line: Jags -6.5
O/U: 44.5
What have we learned about picking the Jags to cover a high line? The Lions are awful, and I don't expect Culpepper to help much, as he won't know the offense yet, nor will he have any chemistry with his receivers. Jacksonville may be struggling, but they can't break the streaks of both winless teams, can they? Detroit knows they can win this game, and will be playing as such. Even if they don't pull it out, they keep it close.
Lions +6.5. Jacksonville Still Wins 24-20.

Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears
Line: Titans -3
O/U: 38-5
Linebuster!
Chicago will need to score at least 2 defensive touchdowns to win this game, especially if our old buddy Rex gets the start over a banged-up Orton. That is highly unlikely.
Titans -3. Tennessee Remains Perfect 23-17.

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
Line: Pats -3.5
O/U: 41.5
The Pats return to Foxboro...after a loss...to face the Bills...who are struggling. Every part of that sentence favors the Pats. If the Bills come out with a mindset of getting revenge for all of the beatdowns the Pats have laid on them in the last few years, they may be able to pull it out. But I'm not betting on it.
Pats -3.5. Bills fall to 5-4 at the hands of the Pats, 27-23.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
Line: Falcons -1
O/U: 50
Coming off the bye week, I think the Saints will put up a good effort and show the league why the Falcons are overperforming. Atlanta is a great story, but they're not the best team in their division, and New Orleans needs to prove it.
Saints +1. New Orleans wins 37-27.

St. Louis Rams @ New York Jets
Line: Jets -8
O/U: 44.5
Linebuster!
Are you kidding me? They may have beaten the Bills, but the Jets are no juggernaut. The Rams have been good since the coaching change, and despite a stumble last week, I think they'll easily cover against the Jets. New York hasn't played well against its lesser opponents thus far (they lost to the freaking Raiders...), and could very well lose this game. At the very least it will be close.
Rams +8. Jets still win it 23-21.

Seattle Seahawks @ Miami Dolphins
Line: Dolphins -8.5
O/U: 43
The Fins should win this game. Seattle has to travel all the way across the country, corner to corner...longest flight in football if I'm not mistaken. The last time the Seahawks went to Florida, however, they hung around with the Bucs, and ended up covering the spread. Miami is due for a letdown, and has played its best football against its best opponents...a category in which Seattle does not fall. Not an upset. Just a cover.
Seattle +8.5. I think the Fins will win it by a touchdown 20-13.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Line: Vikings -2.5
O/U: 45.5
Who wants it more? That's all this game comes down to. It's in Minnesota, so advantage Minny. I'm tempted to go with Minnesota, just because the Pack won the last one, but that's not always how football works. The reason for this pick? Green Bay is 27th in the league against the run. Adrian Peterson is good at "the run". Especially at home.
Minnesota -2.5. GB has no answer for AP. Minny wins 27-21.

Carolina Panthers @ Oakland Raiders
Line: Panthers -9.5
O/U: 37.5
Linebuster!
Can anyone explain to me why the Raiders just released their best player? Al Davis is a moron. Gibril Wilson came out and said that by releasing one of the best guys on the team, it looks to the rest of the staff as though the Raiders are just giving up. That attitude will not foster wins, and Oakland will get blown out again.
Panthers -9.5. Carolina Crushes Oakland 37-10.

Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers
Line: Chargers -15.5
O/U: 47.5
What? Now all of a sudden oddsmakers think the Chiefs can't score? The last two weeks they've proven me wrong and put up decent point totals. San Diego may be coming off a bye week, and they may be at home, and they may be a far better team, and they may be fighting for the division, but I will NOT give a team that many points unless I am sure they will perform at the top of their game. I can't be sure of a Charger team that has been very inconsistent thus far. Plus KC always fights for divisional games, and even if they can't bring the fight to the Chargers, even a small coup d'etat would cover that spread.
Chiefs +15.5. San Diego wins 27-13.

Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Line: Steelers -3
O/U: N/A
Nobody has an over/under yet, and only one of my sources has a line. I guess nobody wants to touch this one without knowing how long Ben will be out in Pittsburgh. I don't care who plays QB, because I think Indy needs this game bad enough to win either way. It'll be close, but if there's anyone in the league that can beat the Steelers' blitz coverages, it's Peyton Manning.
Colts +3. Indy HAS TO get things going NOW. Colts 24-13.

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles
Line: Eagles -3
O/U: 43
Ok, ok. I respect the Giants. Philly is good, but I think the Giants' D will not allow the Eagles to get much going, and the Giants will grind out a win. Not to mention Philly hasn't won in the division yet.
Giants +3. New York proves they're the Beast of the East. 27-20.

Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
Line: Ravens -1
O/U: 42
Houston will have a lot of trouble moving the ball against an excellent Baltimore D, and Flacco has been playing pretty well. It should be close, but I think the Ravens can pull it out.
Ravens -1. Baltimore wins 23-21.

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals
Line: Cards -9.5
O/U: 46
Linebuster!
I hate to linebust on a huge spread, but the Cardinals are annihilating everyone at home. And the 49ers aren't that good yet. Singletary will get his guys in line, but unless he suits up for them, the 49ers will struggle for a few more weeks. Plus Arizona would love to prove themselves to the world on Monday Night!
Cards -9.5. Arizona is awfully good at home. 31-10.

Byes: CIN, DAL, TB, WAS

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