Tuesday, November 25, 2008

PREVIEW - WEEK THIRTEEN

THANKSGIVING GAMES

Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions
Line: Titans -11
O/U: 44
Linebuster!
I hate to give so many points to the Titans, especially in a Thanksgiving Day game in Detroit...but the Lions have no rushing defense, and the Titans have Chris Johnson. Plus Tennessee is coming off a loss, and wants to get "back on the horse".
Titans -11. Tennessee Rolls 31-13.

Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys
Line: Cowboys -13
O/U: 47
Seattle is #31 in the league against the pass, and Romo and TO are starting to piece things back together. It stinks, but I think both of these will be turkey day blowouts.
Cowboys -13. Dallas comes out firing 37-17.

Arizona Cardinals @ Philadelphia Eagles
Line: Eagles -3
O/U: 47
Arizona hasn't won on the East Coast...until now. The Eagles can't score, and Arizona can. Unless Warner gets a case of the fumblies, which he may, then the Cards should take this one.
Cards +3. Arizona wins outright 31-19.

Sunday

Denver Broncos @ New York Jets
Line: Jets -7.5
O/U: 47.5
The Jets have trouble with the AFC West, but Denver is terrible, and Favre will tear them apart. The problem is that the Jets' Pass D is ranked even worse than Denver's, so Cutler may have a big game too. I think the Jets win, but not by that much.
Broncos +7.5. The Broncos are never predictable, so I'll go against my gut. Jets 33-27.

San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills
Line: Bills -6.5
O/U: 42.5
Buffalo needs the win, and should handle the 49ers, even though they are no pushover. It's another game where a loss would all but mean the end of Buffalo's season.
Bills -6.5. Buffalo wins 33-23.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Bucs
Line: Bucs -3.5
O/U: 47.5
Linebuster!
If the line were 3, I might take the Bucs, but there is a good chance they'll only win by a field goal - they rarely pull away. Plus with Reggie Bush back, the Saints may actually be able to sweep the season series.
Saints +3.5. Tampa wins 23-21.

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Line: Packers -3
O/U: 43
The Frozen Tundra becomes a huge home-field advantage around this part of the season, especially against southern teams. Green Bay's pass D must be pissed after the Saints made them look like fools, so Delhomme will have a long game.
Packers -3. Green Bay wins 30-17.

New York Giants @ Washington Redskins
Line: Giants -3.5
O/U: 41.5
Linebuster!
Are you kidding me? The Giants are very good, and are built to win on the road, thanks to excellent play in the trenches. This one will be more dominant than the first meeting.
Giants -3.5. New York Skins 'em 31-16.

Miami Dolphins @ St. Louis Rams
Line: Dolphins -7
O/U: n/a
The Battle of the Longs! I hate to give Miami this many points, but the Rams have been very bad the last few weeks, and the Fins are due for a blowout.
Dolphins -7. Miami wins 31-13.

Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
Line: Ravens -7
O/U: 36.5
There is little offense in this game, and though the Ravens have a much better defense, it's usually more intelligent to go against a big spread in a low-scoring game. Then again, it's the Bengals.
Ravens -7. Baltimore wins 23-10.

Indianapolis Colts @ Cleveland Browns
Line: Colts -5
O/U: 45
While Derek Anderson is trying to figure out whether or not he's upset that he got back to the starting role by injury, and not because the team is confident in him, Peyton will be tearing the Browns up.
Colts -5. Indy wins 34-24.

Atlanta Falcons @ San Diego Chargers
Line: Chargers -4.5
O/U: 49
Linebuster!
I get it. Give the Chargers points, because they're at home, and they absolutely must win. The only problem? Atlanta is in a division race, too, and the Falcons have actually looked good. Steadily good. Not to mention, they know they're the underdog, and will be out to prove that they are no fluke. The NFC South is a very good division. Believe it.
Falcons +4.5. Atlanta wins outright 27-23.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots
Line: Pats -1
O/U: 40
Linebuster!
Just to preface my pick, this is quite possibly the worst way I have ever picked a game. Here we go...The Pats should be no better than 10-6 this season without Brady. To fall that far, they'll need to lose 2 more. I doubt they'll lose the next two weeks, and even Arizona at home is winnable in week 16. So that means they'll need to lose to the Steelers and Bills! Of course, I could also back my pick up by noting that Pittsburgh's aggressive D will give Cassel nightmares, and that Pittsburgh doesn't want to lose and fall into a tie with the Ravens for first in the division.
Steelers +1. Pittsburgh Wins 21-17.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders
Line: Raiders -3
O/U: 41.5
This game means nothing to me, so I am considering flipping a coin. I heard somebody recently say that they thought the Raiders could win out. I doubt that, but this game is certainly winnable. The problem is that it's KC's chance to get a second win, and nobody wants to end up 1-15.
Raiders -3. Let's hope that guy that said that thing knows something we don't. Raiders win 27-24.

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
Line: Vikings -3.5
O/U: 42
This is a huge divisional game, and it comes down to who can win when needed. The Vikings were built to be a contender, and when everything is on the line, I'd expect them to be the team that comes out on top. We've already seen them win a few desperation games. Time for one more.
Vikings -3.5. Minnesota Cruises 27-16.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
Line: Texans -3
O/U: 48
Who booked this game for Monday Night? Awful. The fact that the Texans are favored tells you all you need to know. It's been a long year for the Jags. But these guys still have a great deal of pride, and there's no way they give up without a fight. They know they should be better than the Texans. After a good defensive game, the Texans are due to struggle a little.
Jags +3. Jacksonville wins 23-20.

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