Wednesday, September 24, 2008

PREVIEW - WEEK FOUR

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
Line: Broncos -10
O/U: 46.5
LINEBUSTER!


This is a no-brainer. Denver doesn't need defense to beat KC. The Chiefs will still only score 10 points or so. The O/U is a close call, simply because it is based on whether or not the Chiefs score. I'm going to go over.
Denver -10. Broncos coast, 38-10.

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals
Line: Bengals -3.5
O/U: 44.5


Cleveland has gotten no production out of its offense yet this year. I thought they'd beat the Ravens, simply because the offense is due for a breakout game. They're still due. Maybe heading into the land without defense (AKA Cincy) will get them out of their hole. Then again, the Bengals almost beat the Giants last week. I'm going to say the Giants just came out flat, and aren't that spectacular in the first place.
Browns +3.5. Romeo, Romeo, where for art thou Romeo...the Browns finally put up points and win 24-16.

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Line: Jags -7.5
O/U: 42

The Jags are one of the many 1-2 teams that we all know are far better than their record indicates. Houston has the personnel to beat a good team, but I don't think this is their week. Jacksonville is too desperate. But can the Jags score enough points to cover the spread? Go under.
Jags -7.5. Jacksonville 27-13.

Arizona Cardinals @ New York Jets
Line: Jets -1.5
O/U: 45


After faltering against the Redskins, will the Cards revert back to their old ways? 3-1 would be a rare thing in the desert. My X-Factor is that Arizona is flying all the way across the country for the second week in a row. That's gotta be taxing. These two teams could go big, so bet over.
Jets -1.5. New York 33-24.

San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints
Line: Saints -6
O/U: 48.5


We saw both of these teams put up big numbers last week, so bet over. San Francisco's defense has been much better than New Orleans', but that has been against weaker competition.
Saints -6. New Orleans can't be at the bottom of the NFC south for long. Saints win 34-27.

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
Line: Panthers -7
O/U: 39.5


Carolina's offense is ranked fairly low, but they have played two of the league's top defenses in successive weeks. Atlanta's D has been good, but has played against 2 of the league's worst offenses. I'd like to go with the Falcons, but Delhomme is just too magical. He finds a way to win.
Panthers -7. Carolina wins a game without having to come from behind late, 24-13.

Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans
Line: Titans -3
O/U: 36


Both of these teams rely heavily on the run game, and while the Titans boast the league's 4th best defense statistically, they are only 10th in rush defense. Minnesota is 3rd. Unless Kerry Collins kills the Vikings through the air, Peterson should be able to carry the Vikings to a .500 record. Not to mention, Tennessee is 3-0 and can afford to lose one. Minny needs another win.
Vikings +3. Minnesota 23-17.

Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: Bucs -1
O/U: 43
LINEBUSTER!

What does Vegas know that I don't? This seems like an easy call. Both teams have similar offensive and defensive stats so far, but the Packers have played a more difficult schedule. Coming off a loss at home, they'll want to rebound. Tampa is good, but the Packers should be one of the league's elite teams, provided Rodgers keeps performing well.
Packers +1. Green Bay coasts 30-17.

Buffalo Bills @ St. Louis Rams
Line: Bills -8
O/U: 41.5

LINEBUSTER!

I know I paid for going with the Bills to win big last week, but they came out completely flat and found a way to win. I don't think they'll be underestimating the Rams. With a change at QB in St. Louis the offense may be even more out of sync. Bills put up a bunch of points.
Bills -8. Buffalo stomps the Rams 38-12.

San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
Line: Chargers -9
O/U: 45.5

LINEBUSTER!

It's the same line as last week for San Diego. It was good luck then, I expect it to be again. How the Raiders could put up such a fight against the Bills with such turmoil at the helm is beyond me, but I doubt it will happen again. San Diego has to get that defense on track, though, if they want to be a threat in the postseason.
Chargers -9. The Chargers throw Lane Kiffin a going away party, 37-13.

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Line: Cowboys -11
O/U: 46
LINEBUSTER!

No Jason Taylor? No way, Washington. Romo's going to have fun this week. Just be careful when you go to their place, Dallas. It won't be so easy next time.
Cowboys -11. Dallas blows out the Skins 41-10.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
Line: Eagles -3
O/U: 41

This could be a sixth linebuster, but in the interest of keeping things even, I won't call it as such. Did you know Chicago has the 28th passing defense in the league? And that Philly comes to town with the 3rd best passing attack in the league? That could spell trouble in the Windy City. As long as McNabb isn't affected by his chest contusion from last week, the Eagles will cruise, even if Brian Westbrook can't play (questionable-ankle).
Eagles -3. Philly 31-9.

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Line: Steelers -7
O/U: 35.5

Upset Special! Without Wee Willie Parker, the Steelers just may lose this one! The Ravens have the #1 defense in the league (Steelers are #3, so go under), and I'm not sure if Big Ben will be able to throw on the league's best pass defense (by far...they allow 50 ypg less by air than the next closest team). Keep in mind, though, that Baltimore's numbers are from only two games, and that those two games were against the Browns and Bengals. We'll see how good they really are this week. All I'm saying is to be prepared for a possible upset.
Ravens +7. Baltimore shows that they can beat teams from outside of Ohio, 16-13.

BYES: DET, MIA, NE, SEA, IND, NYG

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